Sunday, October 4, 2009

The other side of the Outsourcing coin

Recently, I happened to visit the USA on work. I was in Raleigh, North Carolina for over a week, and had gone round the town with my cousin, who lives there.

I distinctly remember my earlier visit to the same facilities of my employer about four years ago. My colleagues in the US had recommended me a hotel as the one to go for, since it was not too far away from the office, and, more importantly, was right opposite a huge mall, which housed some of the biggest names in US retailing – Sears, Circuit City, Best Buy, et al, not to mention the usual Abercrombie, Toys r Us, and the plethora of clothes shops. And not to forget, the many options for eating, including a massive outlet of The Cheesecake Factory. I am a sworn veggie, and, not surprising, subsistence on the veggie fare in the US has never been a problem.

My visit in 2005 was memorable for a few things – I was awed by the sheer size of my office campus – about 13 blocks, with a capacity of over 25000, and a few assembly units housed in, as well. The second was, my difficulty in getting myself lodged in this hotel of choice- the waitlist was significant, because Raleigh used to be a bustling centre for Technology and Research. The third was the bubbly crowds thronging the mall in the evenings- I used to enjoy the time I had there, hanging out with my colleagues, chatting away on office-nothings, while enjoying the cheesecakes.

Cut to August 2009. The first surprise came from the hotel. I was able to get accommodation without a whimper. “This is the school vacation time and so people may prefer to visit the sunny beaches instead of workplace”, I thought to myself. The second surprise was in store at JFK. Gone were the long lines in front of immigration. Sure, they had added more counters to make the traveler experience a little smoother. “The biometric scanning system has surely reduced the service time per entrant, plus the added counters have eased the pressures”, I told myself. I landed in Raleigh shortly, and, surprise of surprises, the hotel was just not crowded. “Is it the school vacation time that is causing the drop in occupancy?” I asked the hotel front desk – and got back a wry smile in return. I still did not quite comprehend the meaning of it then.

I was greeted in the office by empty parking lots. “The same school vacation time”, I consoled myself, and immersed myself in meetings. As I interacted with the local folks, I could clearly see desolation and fear in their mannerisms. A sense of déjà vu, as it were. I was told later, that the occupancy level of these company-owned premises is only about 30%. I could see the symptoms of something sinister, but could neither fathom it in full, nor the undercurrents of it. As it turned out later, not just my employer, but almost all employers in that area, as in many other areas in the country, have cut back on jobs, causing unprecedented levels of low-occupancy.

The usual gathering for supper turned out to be rather unusual. The colleagues turned in, as usual, and we took a quiet corner of the Cheesecake Factory outlet, chatting away to glory. But the usual humdrum in the restaurant was missing. The crowds clearly were thin. I asked my American colleagues what the matter was. The same wry smile, in return. One of them finally down the remnants of the Screwdriver in his glass, cleared his throat, and told me something that was heart-wrenching. He said “blame it all on Outsourcing”. That is when reality hit me on the face. The Cheesecake stopped being cheesy from that moment. I was putting up a brave front in front of my colleagues, and kind of brushed aside that point, but deep inside me, I was badly shaken. I went through the motions of supper, got back into the cozy confines of my hotel bed, and was deep in contemplation.

Clearly, America is a nation in transition, but to me, in the path towards terminal decline. The 70s and 80s saw manufacturing jobs being put on those huge transcontinental cargo ships to Asia, never to return. “Motor city” (Detroit) soon turned into “city of rusted steel”. Manufacturing was all but wiped off the face of the Land Of Opportunities, to the point that even toothpicks were imported. America had then consoled itself in “moving up the value chain” by focusing on the Services Sector. But that did not last long, either. What started as a trickle of I.T. programming outsourcing, had soon turned into a deluge of outsourcing everything from simple programming, to backend office processes, to HR to R&D… this deluge has clearly inundated Raleigh and the other cities with jobless families, struggling to make ends meet. People have resorted to literally selling their family silver. “For sale” boards in front of what once were cozy homes for happy families are now ubiquitous.

The many I.T parks and the economic prosperity that one now witnesses in India, to me, are clearly at the expense of the US and other developed western Countries. For every house that has risen in value of a house in Jayanagar, Bangalore, from a few lakhs of Rupees not so long ago, I felt that one house in Raleigh (and other towns) is going up on distress sale, as it were.

The typical confused Indian in me suddenly woke up. “Is this not Adharma (injustice)? Is my country’s prosperity not directly linked with the downfall of another nation? Am I not prospering by pulling houses down on the other side of the globe?” The socialist within me explained “ well, the British did exactly this to India for centuries, plunging the country into penury from which we are struggling to extricate ourselves, and maybe this is pay-back time- after all the Chinese showed no such compunctions when manufacturing jobs were transplanted into China”. The sham of a scientist within me woke up and said “well, this is typical Darwinian theory – survival of the fittest. So don’t be too bothered, because, tomorrow, someone else will overpower you when your fitness level goes down, just as is happening to the US now”. The economist in me tried to pacify “the law of Diminishing marginal Utility will make sure that India will be shown its right place on the economic ladder soon, unless it learns to move up the value chain fast”.

Is what we are doing as a nation right or wrong? Are we justified in (metaphorically speaking) snatching some else’s job and prospering at the expense of their well-being? What will happen to those families who had built their lives around dreams of a more prosperous future, only to see them crumble like the Twin Towers, right in the front their eyes? Is this righteous, or is this plain Adharma? Why does one nation have to prosper at the expense of the other? Isn’t the world big enough to offer opportunities to all, so that one does not have to step on another’s toes? I have been struggling to find an answer for this, ever since my return, a month ago.

Somewhere, back in my mind, the echo of my mother’s feeble recitation of a Sanskrit prayer mildly reverberates,

“Kayena vacha manasendriyairva
Buddhyatmana va prakrite swabhavath
Karoomi yadyad sakalam parasmai
Narayanayeti samarpayami”
, which broadly translates to

“Whatever I do with my mind, body, speech or with other senses of my body,
Or with my intellect or with my innate natural tendencies”
I offer everything to Narayana (God).

©Dilip Subramanian

Monday, August 3, 2009

Cash for Clunkers

I arrived in the US yesterday on a week's visit on work.

I am hearing a lot of "exciting" things about this Cash For Clunkers program has apparently has been hugely popular.

Crudely put, this is what I understand of the program. if your car gives less than 18 miles per Gallon ( God knows why the Yankees stick to such 18th century units of measurement, when the rest of the world has moved on), then you could buy a new "Quasi Green" car which will give more mileage, and , in the process , get upto $4500 off the bill... that is almost 25% to 15% rebate on the car, depending upon the model.... the biggest to gain is Ford so far, and the Govt is serisouly debating extending this program, to give a second chance to the two candidates on death-bed - GM and Chevy.

Back to the basics. Who gains? Those guys who indulged in the gas-guzzling SUVs and Hummers of yore, when the going was good, at the expense of the those who thought it more prodent to go in for more fuel efficient cars. And who foots the bill? All tax-payers, collectively.
Net of it, you collect tax money from all and sundry, including the 'responsible" and "rckless" guys, and put that money in the hands of those " irresponsible" guys...

Much like the "bail-outs" which really set the precedent for all bad behaviour to be encouraged.

This, to me, is communism gone awry!!!

Saturday, July 11, 2009

Cathode Ray tube and Copper tube

I rolled on the floor and laughed at the news item released on Times of India an hour ago (reproduced below).... Blame it on Mr. Ghulam Nabi Azad! Indians are known the world over for lateral thinking, and what better standing example ( no pun intended, seriously!) can be shown, than this masterpiece from the minister!!! India desperately needs electrification - for lighting rural homes and for pumping water. Farmers want to pump water, and the minister says not to, and that too in such a novel fashion!!! Now I know the secret of Karunanidhi giving away free television sets to all and sundry... he is a genius ... he quietly collaborated with Ghulam Nabi Azad and wanted to replace copper tube (Copper-T) with Cathode ray tube ... and how stupid we all were, thinking rather naively that he was giving TV sets to garner votes... let us leave the politicians do their job ( I mean, of population control!). P.S: Heard in the grapevine ... the Union Law minister is about to propose to enact a new law, which mandates that every adult shall either stay awake and watch TV all night, or at least leave the TV on from dusk to dawn, so that there shall be light. Penalty for non-compliance - watch Doordharshan continuously for 72 hours!!! Read on !!!!!!!!!!! Cheers..... Dilip ======================================================================= Village electrification can curb population growth: Azad IANS 11 July 2009, 07:26pm IST Print Email Discuss Bookmark/Share Save Comment Text Size: | NEW DELHI: Health and family welfare minister Ghulam Nabi Azad on Saturday became a votary of rapid electrification of villages in India but for a different reason - to curb population growth by ensuring access to television. "Electricity in our villages can help control population growth. Electricity will lead to television in houses, which will lead to population control. When there is no light, people get engaged in the process of population growth," he said while addressing a function on World Population Day. "Don't think that I am saying this in a lighter vein. I am serious. TV will have a great impact. It's a great medium to tackle the problem," he added. "When light will reach (villages), 80 percent of population growth can be reduced through TV," he said, adding that the current United Progressive Alliance (UPA) central government is working to ensure greater rural electrification. He also exhorted media and TV channels to provide quality materials and highlight positive news. The minister said that population growth needs to be controlled as it will have positive impact on "all Indians". "It is the duty of all MPs, ministries and of all individuals to help in curbing the population growth," he said adding that India contributes to 17 percent of the global population but the land area of our country is just 2.5 percent of the total land available in the world. "We need to think that more children means more problems," Azad said. India with over a billion people is second only to China in terms of sheer number of people and experts believe if the current trend of growth continues, then the country may surpass China by 2030.

Friday, July 3, 2009

US National debt

Grave reading....http://www.cnbc.com/id/31723265

Of particular interest is this snippet below....The odometer-style "debt clock" near Times Square — put in place in 1989 whenthe debt was a mere $2.7 trillion — ran out of numbers and had to be shut downwhen the debt surged past $10 trillion in 2008. The clock has since beenrefurbished so higher numbers fit.

Markets update

I had mentioned earlier that I made a wrong call during the elections -that the markets would go down after a Hung Parliament emerges ...Subsequently I have got back in slowly, and am now sitting on a profit of 20% onmy portfolio . Today, I have booked partial profits in "momentum plays" like commodities andRealty. I intend taking out some more on Monday after the budget finishes, onCommmodities. I intend leavin the balance over.I know I missed the Election ferviour, and am determined not to miss this one.I have a funny feeling that the markets go through the much needed correction,either starting on Budget day ( if the budget is screwed up) or sometimethereafter ...it is very difficult to time the market.For the past few days, the market has been very edgy, and on very thin volumescomparatively. Over the last couple of weeks, FIIs have been pulling out money,and DIIs are getting in.Globally, credit is getting tightened again. California is techincally abankrupt state now. Unemployment is flirting with 10% in the US. Inflation islikely to come in again. treasury yields are getting more attractive again-indicating potential "flight to safety".Which means we could see strengthening of the Greenback again for sometime, andglobally the stock markets could possibly go through one more round ofcorrection....All this is guesswork at this stage, since I dont have the luxury of hard , andall this could go wrong again... but, this is my call right now, andtherefore, barring the long term investments, I am likely to pull out all mytrading money from the market.I am eyeing the Auto Sector and Realty now as a contrarian play like I did for sugar, essentially in the midcap space. Still testing the waters there, andwould like to see some correction before I put in big money there. Auto Sectormaybe in the next 3 months, and realty in another 6 possibly...

Federer

I think that of late, Federer has started making more and more unforced errors compared to what he used to, by his own high standards... which is one reason why is tends to lose more often, of late...

But I am fervently hoping that this poetry in motion continues for eternity.....

Match

What do you call today's semi-finals between Andy Murray and Andy Roddick?
















......MATCH OF THE AANDIES !!!!!!!!!!(Andippandarams!)

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Bull top and Bear bottom
















I have been clsoely following the indices of some countries, and based on empirical evidence, when the Indian Sensex hit 20,000 about 1 1/2 years ago, I had called it the market top, and also had predicted that if and when a correction comes, the Sensex may hit 8000 at the minimum...
I was proved dead right in Oct 2008, when the Sensex hit 7600, and has since recovered to dizzy levels, much like the other markets.
Many people had asked me how I called this out. Let me explain my rationale.
  1. 20,000 is a huge psychological barrier by any standards, and can only sustain if there is sustained incremental earnings potential beyond that. By the time the Sensex got there, the PE was about 28, and about 22 based on FY09 projections, and in my opinion, there was not much steam left from thereon. I had pulled out all my money from the market the day the index hit 20000. Of course, it went on to briefly cross 22000, before that major bear market fall all the way to 7600.

  2. On the rationale of how much low can it get, I had based them on my observations then, but now I am able to prove it with charts from Yahoo. I am attaching a few as samples - the Hangseng, Nikkei, Straits Times, Shanghai Composite and, of course, the Sensex. As can be clearly seen, from approximately the top of the bull market, the bear grip has lasted for all the way to about 1/3rd of the peak value, give and take a few. This, I have observed in the previous down cycles in the late ninetees, as well as the early ninetees, has always been consistent. Now, thanks to the power of the Net , and thanks to Yahoo, I have been able to prove it with charts.

Where do the markets go from hereon?

Your guess is as good as mine!










































Thursday, May 28, 2009

Markets

 I have been a bit busy traveling. Have not written a while.

I do not know about the rest of us, but I clearly missed the recent market
boom. My calculations were proven totally wrong.. I expected a hung parliament,
like most of us... but the people decided otherwise.

I had exited stocks before the elections... I did a quick calculation... had I
persisted, my portfolio as of yesterday would have given me about 92%... 
instead I only cashed in with about 60%... clear loss of opportunity.

However, I am not complaining.

1.60% returns over six months is good by any standards.
2. It is very difficult to time the market.
3. Had the results gone the way I had predicted, then the reurns could have
dwindled... imagine 15% drop in a day... which happened in 2004 Oct..


Going forward, from the looks of it, almost all stocks are back to their high
levels. there is very little upside left, given the earnings estimates for FY
2010. Market is at a PE of about 20 right now... close to the 21000 levels we
saw in May 2008...

Hence I have no choice but to wait for a correction in order to get back in. If
I get in now, then I should be prepared to wait for another 3 years at the
least, to get decent returns. They are predicting that the Sensex would go all
the way up to 19500 this year.. I am not sure about that, given the decadence
in the US $ and the pursuant global crisis 2.0 that is building up... but
anything is possible in India!!


Effective CMs

I am hearing a lot about the good work Nitish Kumar has been doing in
Bihar. See URL: below.

http://www.ndtv.com/news/blogs/a_fine_balance/bihar_transformed.php


Amongst other popular CMs, I hear very good coverage about Biju Patnaik, Sheila
Dixit and of course Narendra Modi.

These people have shown that it is possible to get votes not just by partisan
politics, but by good governan

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Slumdog controversy

When India used to be a land of plenty, culturally we genuinely belived in living a simple life, and as a rule, the soceity was against aggrandizement and overt wealth building. This was at a time when India was one of the world's wealthiest countries, centuries ago ( remember all the invasions by the Mughals, Ghazni and Alendar to plunder the wealth of the country?) Slowly this gave way to a select few within the society accumulating all the wealth through dubious " principles" , the others resorting to " what I have is enough" more out of frustration that they were unable to have an opportunity to get to the riches, than pure renunciation. Over the last 70 years, courtesy a socialist-minded Central Goverment, it was almost criminal to think that everyone was entitled for everything. The poor were made to be deliberately poor, and the rich were getting richer through dubious means. As time passed by, the information age caught up fast through permeation of media and the internet. Even the humble farmer is able to see what he is missing out in life, but alas, given the disappearance of any solid principles on integrity, and the rapid disintegration of joint families leading to absence of good influence of the elders, the common man has put money right on top of the priority heap, and will now do anything to get more money. This episode is an unfortunate reflection of this degeneration of values in the society over time. And I think this is only bound to get worse. A few thoughts on this whole "Slumdog" nonsense. 1. At the end of the day, it is only a movie and not targeted at any individual in particular. I wonder why people are getting worked up so much over the portrayal of poverty in the movie. After all, it is only the creative expression of the movie team, and if one does not subscribe to it, one should simply stay away from such movies, but the movie makers have all the right to make a movie as per their creative abilities, as long as they don't hurt anyone's sensibilities. And I don't think they have hurt anyone's sensibilities. 2. The whole intelligentsia of the country seems to be on a mission of " why do you want to make money trying to portray my poverty?" This, to me, is nothing but paranoid thinking. How many of these so-called intelligentsia have used this occasion to really question ourselves on HOW we can do away with poverty, slums and make ourselves a better country? Why get worked up when someone criticizes us or picks on our weakness? 3. One has to remember common human tendency - when someone is on the ascendancy, the others, more out of jealousy or out of other negative feelings, will constantly be on the lookout for weakspots, and blow them up. Look at the kind of criticism of China on many front - human rights, lack of freedom for labour, lack of democracy etc etc etc... every time the West wants to pick on them... their response? IGNORE. And move on with what they believe in. 4. Why can't we do the same? Why not take this as a recognition that the world is now noticing India for it's "growth story" and in many ways, sometimes even gets alarmed... and so it is only natural that the Strong would pick on our weak spots and magnify them. Instead of genuinely working towards mitigating those weaknesses, why go on a self-denial mode or sneer at people who point them to us? Take critism positively, and if, as a nation, we want to stand up and be counted amongst the best, and I believe that as a nation, we certainly want to be one, then we should NOT ignore such weak points or criticisms, but rather work on them seriously. But alas, I do not see any of that happening. The last news I heard was that the same Dharavi slum, which was to be redeveloped into a proper settlement colony, with commercial interest, is now going to continue to languish, because Unitech or DLF has pulled out of the project... if this is really true, then shame on us... this will then smack of an attitude such as " we will continue to have all the filth, and wont make any meaningful efforts to get rid of them, but others have no right to point it out".
Reminds me of the Ostrich burying it's head in the desert sand!! I know many of us won't like my above criticism, but I genuinely feel it is high time that we as a nation started to recognize our own problems and earnestly work on them, and not shoo away any criticism just because it comes from outside. We have this dirty habit of harping on our old glorious past and simply resting on those laurels, even as the present rots away. When I see countries like Japan, Korea, Singapoore, Hongkong and even Malaysia making progress over the last 100 years, I would like to ask ourselves - how much potential we really had over the last century to make ourselves a more prosperous society, and how much opportunities have we missed? I don't have to answer this - we all know the answer, dont' we? Cheers. Dilip

Monday, April 13, 2009

Patek Philippe

This is amusing. See this adverstiement of Patek Philippe. http://www.patek.com/patek-philippe.html?pageId=8021&backgroundId=4&lang=en&



The USP is " You never really own a Patek Philippe. You merely look after it for the next generation". Cut to the election campaign now... and this read this... Looks like Motilal Nehru has been a Creative Director for Patek Philippe more than 80 years ago !!!!



http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/Early-start-Gandhi-Gen-Five-hits-the-campaign-trail/articleshow/4398205.cms




Early start: Gandhi Gen-Five on campaign trail

14 Apr 2009, 0900 hrs IST, Manjari Mishra , TNN

JAGDISHPUR: Former pradhan of Chandosi gram sabha Kanhaiya Baksh Singh had an unusual assignment on Sunday, April 12 — he escorted Priyanka 
Rehan and Maira
Rehan and Maira made friends easily with village children, shaking hands & distributing Congress badges. (TOI Photo)
Vadra's children, Rehan (7) and Maira (5), on their maiden independent election trail in the family pocketborough of Amethi. 

Singh (53) sums it up with an old Awadhi saying, "Kathi ki bili bhi gungunati hai (even a cat in the house of a katha singer knows how to hum)." Today, he is a proud man, having helped in the launch of the fourth generation of Gandhis in the hurly-burly of heartland politics. "It came as a bolt from the blue," he told TOI. 

Resting at home, Singh was summoned to Munshiganj rest house for "an important business". There, the old family loyalist was given charge of Rehan and Maira, who were raring to go "canvassing for mama" all on their own, with only a maid and security personnel for company. 

The team left the resthouse at 10 in the morning and for the next two-and-a-half hours toured adjacent villages of Chandoki, Ramshahpur and Hardoia. "The little ones are born charmers," said Singh, who excitedly described how "the two took to meeting people like fish takes to water". They needed no tutoring. "Gandhi parivar ke bachcho ko bhala kya samjhane ki zaroorat hai (where's the need to train a Gandhi kid)," he said. Both made friends easily with village children, shaking hands and distributing badges with pictures of Rahul and Sonia. 

The strategy to woo the elderly was different. Clad in red kurta and white pyjama, little Rehan hit it off with them by bending down and touching their feet without any prompting, parting with a crisp one-liner: "Rahul mama ko zaroor vote dijiye (please vote for Uncle Rahul)." Like a consummate politician, Rehan, while walking the lanes of Hardoia, a Dalit dominated area, stopped by an ailing old man on a string bed in his veranda. He inched closer, looked at the man and asked, "How are you uncle?" before repeating the all-important message. The children even walked into huts to meet and chat up veiled women who were reluctant to come out in presence of village seniors. 

Priyanka told the media on Monday that the kids were out campaigning for their Mamaji and had even provided her with valuable feedback on problems like power cuts facing the constituency. "I thought let them have a first-hand feel of life..." said a beaming Priyanka.

NSA

India as a country seems to have selective vision, when it comes to many day-to-day things, and especially in politics.

Varun Gandhi was thrown in jail for his "hate speech" , under the National Security Act. If it proven that he had indeed made such a speech then it certainly deserves all the condemnation and punishment.

But, in the same country, in the same paeriod, Sajjad Lone, the leader of the J&K People's conference, a separatist movement, is fighting the ensuing elections , on separatist plank. In other words, he is turning the election in the constituency, into a virtual referendum exercise in favour of separatism. His outward position is "I will contest polls with a commitment to use this mechanism as a method to represent the voice of the Kashmiri people and to take the strength and merits of our aspirations to the central stage of India".   Clearly directed at the lawmakers to ensure that no law can be explicitly used against him for doing this. No NSA. Nothing.

The most shocking part is - there is not a word of condemnation from the Congress-led UPA Govt to this. You and I know how any other country in Asia would have reacted to such a person who openly espouses separatism.  

Nor is there any "opinion" or "analysis" from the Pseudo-secular media, other than the customary "matter of fact" reporting.

But then, this is a Democratic India. God help Bharat Mata!!!








 

India Stock market update April 09

I had mentioned about 5 months ago that I have started entering the
Indian stock markets again. I have made investments progressively over this period in small quantities every month.

As of yesterday, Some holdings have shown negative , some as high as 250% . my porftolio shows a 50% profit in this depressed market overall.I am exiting the market again this week, and will wait till the elections are over. By then we will also get a confirmation on whether this "turnaround" is for real or not. If, by then the market has gone up another 10 ro 20%, so it be, but I want to
play it safe, since I already have 50% in my pocket.

This is the first time I am experimenting with this "slow and steady" investment
model, over an extended period, and it seems to work well.

For those of you who intend entering the market, but have not done so yet, my
suggestions would be:


1. If you are going directly to the market through online trading or your
broker, buy select scrips in small quantities- remember, this should be with a 3
to 5 year horizon at the least.

2. Fix a target of return that you would desire, and do not get greedy- just
pull your hard earned money out before the hell breaks loose again. You can
choose to leave the Profits portion only, till as long as you want.

3. In terms of timing, you can continue to buy in small quantities,
notwithsantding the ups and downs in the market. The other alternative is to
wait for the election results to be out. If it is a hung parilament, then
chances are that the market could crash by 5 to 10% on the day the results are
out, and that would be the ideal day to BUY. Keep you money ready for that day,
if you do believe that it will be a hung parliament.

4. If you are buying Mutual funds, keep buying in small quantities in select
funds only. Don't spread too thin. Look for funds with the best historical
returns, and don't bother too much on annual charges as long as performance is
good. The other approach would be, if you have money earmarked for retirement,
then wait for a market correction, and put in the money in big chunks and forget
it for the short/ medium term. Analyze the Fund Manager's pedigree before you
jump in. Remember - any mutual fund is only as good as the individual fund
manager. I personally prefer Sanjay Duggal of HSBC India Growth Fund.

5. In the climate, gold could be a good long term investment, given, the
impending Dollar collapse, so if you planning for buying jewellery for your
family, then I would suggest waiting a bit for gold to correct ( I think Gold is
overbought, technically) and then put some of your money to keep your family
happy!!

The "Night Watchman"

Finally, the inevitable is happening. The "night watchman" is getting ready to hand over the crease to the regular batsman... and the batswoman has also now come out openly and has said that she may well pad up, too!!

Singh endorses Rahul as PM






Dharmendra Jore, Hindustan Times
Mumbai, April 14, 2009
First Published: 02:32 IST(14/4/2009)
Last Updated: 02:33 IST(14/4/2009)




Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, the Congress’ prime ministerial candidate in the Lok Sabha polls, said on Monday that Rahul Gandhi was fit for the country’s top job. His statement comes a day after Rahul’s sister Priyanka Vadra said she wanted her brother to become the prime minister one day.

“Power must pass on to young politicians and Rahul has all qualities and abilities to be the prime minister,” Singh said at a press conference during his one-day visit to Mumbai.

He also lambasted BJP’s PM-aspirant LK Advani, saying he had “the unique ability to combine strength in speech with weakness in action”.

Polity and decency

It is saddening to see the moral denigration of the politicians in the country with elections knocking on our doors. The last remnants of decency and decorum have been dissolved on the banks of the Ganga. Be it Varun Gandhi's "hate speech", Lalu's " I will kill him under a roller" threat, Rabri Devi's derogatory comments on Nitish Kumar, Rahul Gandhi calling Advani a "liar" , not to mention all the "below the belt" comments flying around in Tamil Nadu ... all have gone to show that we have lost our sense of public decency and probity. So much so for a nation which prides itself on "culture", "values", "respect for elders" etc.... shame on us! Dilip

Sunday, March 29, 2009

Frauds in the US and corrective actions

 I certainly do not say that America is a special embodiment of badness... to me, it is just another nation with it’s pluses and minuses. Some see the pluses outweighing the minuses, and some like me, see the other way, that is all. For people landing up straight in the USA after India, and virtually settling down there, America is the best place on earth. But for those who have lived elsewhere before or after living in America, that place is just another place, maybe better or worse than their other country experiences, depending upoin where they have lived. And for me, who has been travelling to so many countries over the last 15 years or so, America is still one of the better countries, but clearly there is no halo around it’s back, as far as I can see.

To me, the politicians are the same everywhere, including the USA.  They all try to make money wherever possible, with varying degrees of probity. The Americans by and large seem to firmly believe in the 11th commandment “THOU SHALT NOT GET CAUGHT”.   That is all...

  1. 1.       Did the US Govt not know before that money was being channelized into Swiss banks, ever before? SO what were these people doing all along, without asking for the details? Becuase, they are now cornered.
  2. 2.       Did the SEC and Fed not know the over-leveraging through exotic financial risks and the dangers they posed? Read the book “GREENSPAN’S FRAUD” by our own Ravi Batra if you have any doubts on why the US Govt kept quiet all along in spite of knowing all these wrong-doings.  http://www.amazon.com/Greenspans-Fraud-Decades-Policies-Undermined/dp/1403968594   .   The fact is, the Govt is now cornered, and are posing as if they want to bring in some semblance of order. If you want to believe in them, it is your call.
  3. 3.       Did the SEC not know the consequences of shorting Banking stocks, a la Bear Stearns? Then why did they allow a run on the bank stocks right till the end of the year, save for one brief 15 days in between? After they were caught. They clamped down on it, with partial success.
  4. 4.       Similarly, does the US Govt not know the dangers of funding short term cash requirements with long term debts like 30 year T-Bills? Of course they do. So then why are they continuing it?  You can answer it for yourself.

 

Nett of it, they continue to do all wrong, knowing the fall-outs fully well, until the hell breaks loose. And then they take corrective action. Much like the policeman, who knows the dangers of not patrolling the area properly, resulting in thieves coming in. And then the policeman taking action to catch him...   if you want to repose your faith in this policeman, you are free to do so.

Talk about patriotism – you should visit countries like Korea, Japan and China, they are a lot more patriotic than the Americans. The Japanese actually demonstrate it. Of late, you can see many goods Made in China in Japanese stores, but I am told by my local friends that they don’t sell well enough, and that the Japanese prefer locally made goods. It may well be a combination of stringent quality requirements of the Japs, as well as a liberal dose of patriotism. On the other hand, I wonder how many Americans will stop buying cheap Chinese goods from WalMart, and switch over to USA-made goods ( if at all there is anything left), in the name of patriotism...   I would love to see sales of goods from outside dwindle in the USA, before affirming the patriotism at the individual level.

 

The trouble with the Americans in general is, they really do not have much stakes on the ground, both historically and in the present. To me, the Americans are relatively more polite than, say Europeans, because they never had to bear the brunt of foreign influence, culturally or through invasions.  They seem to be more patriotic because their patriotism has never been seriously tested before... this economica downturn is a good chance, and let us how many of them raise in unison against foreign goods and adopt locally manufactured goods.

Historically, the Americans have never been invaded by anyone in any significant way – neither by the Mexicans nor by the Canadians...  the closest was the Pearl Harbour episode... or, you can say, the 9/11 episode...   hence they found it expedient to have a nice big defence industry, and supply arms to all warring countries in the world, and quite often indulging in moral policing of the world. On the contrary, the Europeans have fought war after war amongst themselves through the Renaissance period, right up to the Georgian war last year. History will prove this...this naturally makes them more pugnacious. No wonder Europeans, especially the continental variety, are considered more impolite.  Incidentally the same is the case with South India... we Southies pride ourselves in being a Sadhvik society unlike the North where people are seen as uncouth and rough....   bear in mind that the Jats, the Punjabis, the Rajputs etc have borne the brunt of 1000s of years of invasion starting from Alexander in the BC period, right up to Kasab on 26/11 ....  whereas the Southies have had relatively long periods of peace.

 

Having said all this, I agree with you the once caught, the US does take swift and affirmative action ( eg. Bernie Madoff) or Enron... whereas in India, the laws are so damn shallow that anyone can get away with it... I am amused that Shibu Soren continues to be a Central minister inspite of the whole world knowing that he is a criminal, simply because the provisions of the law have been used to manipulate the evidences and get him out comfortably.

Let me also make a controversial statement here. At the risk of getting beaten up, I would venture to say that the birth of India on Aug 15th 1947 was based on corruption.  We paid for peace of India, by splitting ourselves, and creating Pakistan from out of us.    We even strike deals with God, none lesser. We quite often pray “ God, give me this, and I will offer you xyz as Neivedhyam or Nerthi Kadan” !!! As if God is waiting to strike this deal with us !!!!     It is in the culture...   today the Indians, especially the Hindus who pride so much in their rich past, are prepared to compromise on anything for the sake of materialism.  We keep harping on our rich past and do not realize that in today’s context of the world we are a nobody.

To me, the Indian society of today is surely on a path of degeneration and decandence, and if we don’t mend our ways quickly enough, we will go the way of Chinese – economically successfully but socially doomed!!!


Monday, March 23, 2009

Dialgoues people speak

riyanka Vadhera has critized Varun Gandhi for making "inflammatory" speech. Fair enough. But what takes the cake is her advice to him. "I would advise him to read the Gita properly and try to understand it," said Priyanka, on a two-day tour of the district to campaign for her mother and brother Rahul, who represents Amethi constituency. I am sure she is an expert in the Gita. She surely should know. For, I am betting my last rupee that she had read the Gita 10 times over, before she made that surreptitious trip to Vellore, bending all jail rules in the process. She took the liberty of pardoning the perpetrators of murder in the May 1991 incident, where along with Rajiv Gandhi, 38 policemen and others were killed. The family of those 38 have been orphaned, and she took their side to pardon the guilty on their behalf... great deed!! May this is what the Gita has said - pardon the guilty on behalf of others, never mind even if they are vehemently opposed to it. As far as I know, the Gita says that people on the side of adharma deserve no pity or mercy and be dealth with accordingly... or maybe I have got the Gita totally wrong, and madam Priyanka has done well with this advice!!! Maybe she was swayed by how the congress party leaders fawn upon Madame Sonia Antonio Maiyo. The age old Congressmen are quite literally following stanza 14 of Chapter 9 when they worship Sonia. This stanza says, and I quote " Always Glorifying me, firm in vows, propstrating before me, and always steadfast, they worship me with devotion" !!!! Maybe Priyanka has grown up seeing this happening within the congress party . Indeed, the Gita can be applied to today's politics as well, and thank you Madame Priyanka, for enlightening me on this!!! Cheers... Dilip

Saturday, March 21, 2009

Varun Gandhi

Varuna is the Rain god in Hinduism, and , going by what the media proclaims, Varun Gandhi apparently is "raining" hatred at the moment. 

I firmly believe that there is no smoke without fire. Here is a possible list of causes for this most recent "outburst"..  these are purely speculative in nature. No one really knows the true cause, but it could well be one or more of these.

  1. Varun is pitching himself to take advantage of the fact that after Advani there is no one at the national stage to grab the leadership fo the BJP. The fact that he happens to be from the "Gandhi" brand may help him... (remember, there is hell a lot of opposition within the BJP for Modi, notwithstanding his stature in Gujarat and I can't think of any other national contendor within the BJP at present.)   This may be Varun's personal calculation to pitchfork into national limelight overnight.  This strategy ahs been tried and tested in the past - people like Advani and Modi have catapulted into focus using such emotive issues.
  2. Varun's calculation may well be that this round of elections may see a hung parliament, leading to elections again in a few months... by which time he may be out of jail, if at all he is thown in, in time for fighting out the next round more effectively. Much like Vaiko's recent rhetoric on the Tamil's issue yesterday.
  3. The other possibility may be that he has the blessings of the BJP leadership- more like the BJP shooting from his shoulders.. at the moment, the BJP leadership and party are in tatters when it comes to election preparedness, and this may well end up being a unifieid force. The BJP may need a "new face" to restart the rhetoric, and Varun's ambitions may have fit in the bill well.
  4. The BJP may be trying to use Varun as a countervailing force for Modi's rise - typical Indira-Gandhi- style politics.
  5. This may be a ploy of the RSS - use Varun;s ambitions to send a message to Advani that the "ram" cause cannot simply be buried under the carpet.
  6. The BJP may genuinely be looking for a "unifying" casue other than Rama temple, which is, by now a stale issue in electoral politics, to get all the fringe groups fight together. The use of Varun for this purpose will also, incidentally, help them dent the "family hegemony" of the Gandhi family, notably the rise of the Gen-next Gandhi, Rahul.

The whole election scene right now is a merry go-round. The UPA and NDA have become UP and ND - the A (Alliances) has broken down completely for both of them. The third front is an aggloemeration of partieis who were fighting each other rabidly, till two months back. And today we get the news of the rise of a 4th front (!!)  consisting of Lallu, Mullu and Paswan....


How all these Netas of the four combos will use people's immiment fractured verdict to horse-trade and get the best biz proposition from the Cauldron, remains to be seen.


Whatever it is, the god Varuna is also the master of law and the Oceans...   Varun shurely must be hoping for a political Tsunami !!




Wednesday, March 4, 2009

Indian economy is losing it's sheen

Looks like the West is unlikely to reap anything significant from the Indian markets and economy- at least not in the near term. It does appear that the Indian Elephant is suddenly defecating right in the middle of the road!!!! Such stories are symptomatic of faily-tale love stories gone sour - maybe the West has not more left to benefit from the Indian Maharajas. When that happens, even the smallest of things look as big as the 100,000 tonnes of excreta being mentioned here, alongside the Taj, of course... After reading the article one is left wondering where this "mountainous" problem ( pun intended) suddenly cropped from. Is this yet another Big Bang theory- in the beginning there was nothing and suddenly there is everything -?? And look at the dramatization- a woman defecating right in the view of the Taj !!! Wow, this is what I call 3D effect.... thank God , there is no 4D on the internet yet!!! I have always heard of many people getting Doctorates in US Universities for really fancy works, but nothing to beat this pile of shit of Taj proportions - I mean , literally!!! I wonder how they estimated the 100,000 tonnes, and more interestingly, how they measured WHERE the droppings happened ... pretty intestinal work, this !!!! I suggest that much like the the McNumber - cost of a burger in McDonald's in different countries forming the benchmark price index- we too can create our own DF Index ( defecating Index)... the more frequent and the bigger the number mentioned in the Western media, the less appealing India is, to the West, and vice versa! Read on....  

 
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=aErNiP_V4RLc&refer=home 



India Failing to Control Open Defecation Blunts Nation’s Growth Email | Print | A A A By Jason Gale March 4 (Bloomberg) -- Until May 2007, Meera Devi rose before dawn each day and walked a half mile to a vegetable patch outside the village of Kachpura to find a secluded place. Dodging leering men and stick-wielding farmers and avoiding spots that her neighbors had soiled, the mother of three pulled up her sari and defecated with the Taj Mahal in plain view. With that act, she added to the estimated 100,000 tons of human excrement that Indians leave each day in fields of potatoes, carrots and spinach, on banks that line rivers used for drinking and bathing and along roads jammed with scooters, trucks and pedestrians. Devi looks back on her routine with pain and embarrassment. “As a woman, I would have to check where the males were going to the toilet and then go in a different direction,” says Devi, 37, standing outside her one-room mud-brick home. “We used to avoid the daytimes, but if we were really pressured, we would have to go any time of the day, even if it was raining. During the harvest season, people would have sticks in the fields. If somebody had to go, people would beat them up or chase them.” In the shadow of its new suburbs, torrid growth and 300- million-plus-strong middle class, India is struggling with a sanitation emergency. From the stream in Devi’s village to the nation’s holiest river, the Ganges, 75 percent of the country’s surface water is contaminated by human and agricultural waste and industrial effluent. Everyone in Indian cities is at risk of consuming human feces, if they’re not already, the Ministry of Urban Development concluded in September. Economic Drain Illness, lost productivity and other consequences of fouled water and inadequate sewage treatment trimmed 1.4-7.2 percent from the gross domestic product of Cambodia, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam in 2005, according to a study last year by the World Bank’s Water and Sanitation Program. Sanitation and hygiene-related issues may have a similar if not greater impact on India’s $1.2 trillion economy, says Guy Hutton, a senior water and sanitation economist with the program in Phnom Penh, Cambodia. Snarled transportation and unreliable power further damp the nation’s growth. Companies that locate in India pay hardship wages and ensconce employees in self- sufficient compounds. The toll on human health is grim. Every day, 1,000 children younger than 5 years old die in India from diarrhea, hepatitis- causing pathogens and other sanitation-related diseases, according to the United Nations Children’s Fund. ‘Sanitation Crisis’ For girls, the crisis is especially acute: Many drop out of school once they reach puberty because of inadequate lavatories, depriving the country of a generation of possible leaders. “India cannot reach its full economic potential unless they do something about this sanitation crisis,” says Clarissa Brocklehurst, Unicef’s New York-based chief of water, sanitation and hygiene, who worked in New Delhi from 1999 to 2001. When P.V. Narasimha Rao opened India to outside investment in 1991, the country went on a tear. For most of this decade, India has placed just behind China as the world’s fastest- growing major economy. Revenue from information technology and outsourcing jumped more than 300-fold to $52 billion a year as Tata Consultancy Services Ltd., Infosys Technologies Ltd. and other homegrown giants took on computer-related work for Western corporations. Annual per-capita income more than doubled to 24,295 rupees ($468) in the seven years ended on March 31, 2008, before the full force of the financial meltdown kicked in. Even during the current global recession, India’s economy will expand 5.1 percent in 2009, the International Monetary Fund projects. Hygiene Breakdown Yet India’s gated office parks with swimming pools and food courts and enclaves such as the Aralias in Gurgaon, outside New Delhi, which features 6,000-square-foot (557-square-meter) condominiums, mask a breakdown of the most basic and symbolic human need -- hygiene. Devi, who installed her neighborhood’s first toilet, a squat-style latrine in a whitewashed outhouse, created a point of pride in a village where some people empty chamber pots into open drains in front of their homes. Like most of Kachpura’s residents, more than half of India’s 203 million households lack what Western societies consider a necessity: a toilet. India has the greatest proportion of people in Asia behind Nepal without access to improved sanitation, according to Unicef. Some 665 million Indians practice open defecation, more than half the global total. In China, the world’s most populous country, 37 million people defecate in the open, according to Unicef. ‘It’s an Embarrassment’ “It’s an embarrassment,” says Venkatraman Anantha- Nageswaran, 45, an Indian working in Singapore as chief investment officer for Asia Pacific at Bank Julius Baer & Co., which managed $234 billion at the end of 2008. “It’s a country that aspires to being an international power and which, according to various projections, will be the third-largest economy in 20-30 years.” India has the highest childhood malnutrition rates in the world: 44 percent of children younger than 5 are underweight, according to the International Food Policy Research Institute. “Malnourished children are more susceptible to diarrheal disease, and with more diarrheal disease they become more malnourished,” says Jamie Bartram, head of the World Health Organization’s water, sanitation, hygiene and health group. “If we collectively could fix the world’s basic water and sanitation problems, we could reduce childhood mortality by nearly a third.” Half of India’s schools don’t have separate toilets for males and females, forcing young women to use unisex facilities or nothing at all. Twenty-two percent of girls complete 10 or more years of schooling compared with 35 percent of boys, a national family health survey finished in 2006 found. Indignity, Infections Devi says she was concerned that her 14-year-old daughter would suffer the indignity and infections she herself endured due to poor menstrual hygiene. That was a major reason she bought a toilet, taking out a 7,000 rupee, interest-free loan from the U.S. Agency for International Development, which enabled her to pay for her new latrine over 18 months. The agency also gave her a 3,000 rupee grant and a 2,500 rupee-a-month job with its Cross-Cutting Agra Project, which promotes hygiene and sanitation in her village. Until then, she, like her husband, was unemployed. Her daughter’s situation has also improved, Devi says. “When she has her period, it’s especially difficult for her to go out into the fields,” she says. “It’s better to have a toilet at home -- as it is for every female.” Girls’ Education Barriers that keep girls from equal education compromise the nation’s future, says Renu Khosla, director of CURE India, a New Delhi group that works to improve water and sanitation for the poor, including in Kachpura. “We will have a less skilled population of youth,” she says. “Every year of schooling reduces household poverty by bringing down the family size and increasing skill levels.” So far, companies looking to locate in India haven’t been turned off by the sanitation shortcomings, says Anshuman Magazine, chairman of CB Richard Ellis Group Inc.’s South Asian unit, which manages about 62 million square feet of property in the country. “India is a completely different planet,” he says. As such, employees know not to drink tap water, and employers provide clean washrooms. “As far as offices are concerned, I have never come across anyone raising these concerns. Businesses run on making money and opportunities. Since 2004, we have seen huge interest from foreign investors and businesses.” Hardship Allowances International corporations that set up branches in Mumbai and New Delhi compensate by paying hardship allowances of 20-25 percent of employees’ salary compared with 10-15 percent in Beijing and Shanghai, says Lee Quane, the Hong Kong-based Asian general manager of ECA International Ltd., a human resources advisory firm. Some big Indian companies count on private utilities, bottled water and walled compounds with electric fences. Infosys’s resort-style campus on the outskirts of Bangalore has manicured lawns, a Japanese garden, a swimming pool, a golf course and a Domino’s Pizza in its multinational food court. Unlike most households in the nearby city of 6.8 million, India’s No. 2 software maker’s headquarters doesn’t suffer water or power interruptions, says Bhawesh Kumar, its facilities manager. Poverty Trap Infosys stores water from the public network in three underground reservoirs that can hold 2.2 million liters (580,000 gallons), or two days’ supply. The water passes through sand and carbon filters and purifiers, making it cleaner than what’s available to local people, he says. Attendants clean the brown- tiled bathrooms and refresh supplies of paper hand towels hourly during the business day. Infrared sensors ensure that toilets are flushed after each use. Outside such compounds, dirty water and poor hygiene can trap communities in a cycle of disease, malnutrition and poverty, Bartram says. Worldwide, 18 percent of the population, or 1.2 billion people, rely on open defecation and about 884 million drink unsafe water, according to Unicef. Every year, more than 200 million tons of human sewage goes uncollected and untreated, fouling the environment. Each gram of feces can contain 10 million virus particles, 1 million bacteria, 1,000 parasite cysts and 100 parasite eggs, the UN found. Fetid Waters In Devi’s village, sewage and household wastewater flow along open drains that line both sides of narrow alleyways. The fetid water gathers in a shallow channel choking with plastic containers, discarded footwear and household trash. A woman carrying a folded mattress on her head steps deftly along a narrow bridge spanning the mire. A mechanical pump chugs on the bank, sucking up the liquid to dispense over a nearby vegetable patch. Children play around the edge, alongside tethered, cud- chewing water buffalo. A man walks past, clutching a water-filled plastic bottle, presumably on his way to defecate. The rest of the slurry empties into a trench coursing along a feces-dotted path through a field of cauliflowers. A shoeless boy uses a long-handled spade to create a new sluice for the black sludge to ooze over the vegetable field. What’s not drained from the trench empties into a cesspool on the flood plain of the Yamuna River, which flows through Delhi and then Agra before joining the Ganges at Allahabad, 1,370 kilometers (850 miles) from its pristine source in the Himalayan mountains. ‘Remorseless Drain’ “If you’ve got feces all around you, it will find its way into your mouth,” Bartram says. “Cholera and typhoid are always dramatic because they come through as outbreaks, and outbreaks catch the news. The real burden is this long, remorseless drain of straightforward, simple diarrheal disease.” Like Devi’s village, less than a fifth of Agra is connected to a sewage system. The 1.3 million people generate more than 150 million liters of effluent each day. The city has the capacity to treat 60 percent of the sewage. There are plans to build three more treatment plants by 2012 with funding from the state and federal governments and the Japan International Cooperation Agency, according to the Agra Municipal Corporation. The U.S. Agency for International Development-funded Cross- Cutting Agra Project and other programs are trying to bridge the sanitation gap. The project helped Devi and 39 other households in her village get toilets during the past two years. Spurring Desire The Indian government is also contributing. Rural families living below the poverty line are eligible for a 1,500 rupee subsidy to build household latrines under the Total Sanitation Campaign. The decade-old program focuses on educating people about the link between good hygiene and health to change behavior and spur their desire for toilets. UN agencies such as Unicef provide technical information and recommendations on toilet systems. Governments and aid groups have strived for decades to overcome India’s sanitation challenges. Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi, who led the movement for freedom from foreign domination, grappled with the issue almost a century ago: “The cause of many of our diseases is the condition of our lavatories and our bad habit of disposing of excreta anywhere and everywhere,” Gandhi wrote in 1925. “Sanitation is more important than political independence,” he declared. Taboo Topic Gandhi focused on the Hindu caste system that subjugated the lowest social stratum to the unsavory realm of latrines. For some 4,000 years, so-called bhangis or untouchables earned a modest living by scraping “night soil” from the cavernous household toilet pits of higher castes and carrying it away in pans balanced on their heads. “Culturally, it was taboo in Indian society to talk about human excreta, night soil and all these things,” says Bindeshwar Pathak, who started Sulabh International Social Service Organization, a Delhi-based group whose name means “readily accessible.” The organization has built public toilets and campaigned on human emancipation issues since 1970. Pathak says the tradition of scavenging removed the impetus of society, and especially policy makers, to acknowledge and address the sanitation problem. A.K. Mehta, joint secretary of the Ministry of Urban Development, says India’s close-lipped tradition is changing. “If you have a legacy of thousands of years, you don’t expect it to go away in a decade or so,” Mehta says. “Progress is significant and in the right direction.” Millions Waiting Today, 59 percent of the people in India’s countryside have access to a toilet, compared with 27 percent in 2004, the Department of Drinking Water Supply says. Ten million toilets have been built annually since 2007. More than 30 million households are waiting. Urban dwellers aren’t spared substandard hygiene. In Mumbai, Delhi and other cities where billboards advertise the latest mobile phones and trendy young women sport Prada handbags, the water that’s piped into homes and apartments must be filtered before drinking. And in most homes it’s available only a few hours each day. “Even the biggest cities still have that problem,” says Vishwas Udgirkar, 46, executive director of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP’s government and infrastructure division in New Delhi. More unsettling, 17 percent of city residents, or 50 million people, don’t have toilets. Fewer than 10 percent of Indian cities have a sewage system. About 37 percent of urban wastewater flows into the environment untreated, where such pathogens as rotavirus, campylobacter and human roundworm can spread via water, soil, food and unwashed hands. ‘Huge Challenge’ “Not attending to this has a cost,” Mehta says. “Between 2001 and ’26, we would be adding another 246 million people to the urban system. How would we meet that huge challenge is the issue.” India is still struggling to find the best way to clean up the mess. “A lot of money has been given for constructing the infrastructure,” says Ajith C. Kumar, an operations analyst with the World Bank’s Water and Sanitation Program in New Delhi. “The predominant experience has been that none of this has worked.” The southeastern state of Andhra Pradesh is a good example. Earlier this decade, the state government helped build 2.95 million household latrines in rural areas. Residents got subsidies worth about $16 in cash plus coupons for 100 kilograms (220 pounds) of rice. Half the toilets went unused or were being used for other purposes, a February 2007 World Bank report found. Roomier Than Homes In the western state of Maharashtra, 1.6 million subsidized toilets were built from 1997 to 2000. About 47 percent are in use. Many toilets are designed without thinking about who’s going to use them, says Payden (who goes by one name), the WHO’s New Delhi-based regional adviser on water, sanitation and health. Some of the new toilets were roomier than homes. “The toilets were much stronger and safer, so they used them for storing grain instead,” she says. Now India is trying a different kind of cash reward to encourage toilet use. The Nirmal Gram Puraskar, or “clean village prize,” gives 50,000-5 million rupees to local governments that end open defecation. Thirty-eight villages qualified in 2005. A year later, 760 villages and 9 municipalities got the prize. In 2008, more than 12,000 awards were presented. Toilets That Pay Santha Sheela Nair, India’s secretary of drinking water supply, is assessing another monetary incentive. In a spacious New Delhi office with a white-tiled floor and white walls, Nair thumbs through a leaflet from a desk stacked with foot-high files and books on sanitation. She stops suddenly and points excitedly to a picture of a white toilet adorned with brightly- colored writing. “This is the first toilet in the world -- in the world -- where you use the toilet and you get paid,” Nair says. The public toilet, in the town of Musiri in the southern state of Tamil Nadu, gives users as much as 12 U.S. cents a month for their excreta. Feces are composted and urine, which is 95 percent water and has already passed through the body’s own filter, the kidneys, is collected, stored in drums and used as fertilizer for bananas and other food crops in a two-year research project by the Tamil Nadu Agricultural University. “The day that I can use your toilet and you pay me instead of me paying you, that will be the day when we have really learned to reuse our waste,” Nair says. Menstrual Hygiene Nair, India’s eighth drinking-water chief in less than a decade, is passionate about her job. On this day in November, the sari-clad government veteran chimes in on baby feces, menstrual hygiene, the use of excrement as fertilizer and other topics few bureaucrats have dared to broach. From 2001 to ’03, Nair was responsible for the water supply in Chennai, formerly called Madras, southern India’s biggest city. Then, as rural development secretary for Tamil Nadu, she helped in the aftermath of the 2004 tsunami. Nair is challenging the accepted wisdom on everything from modern sewers to flushable toilets, to the value of human waste. She says Western-style toilets are inappropriate for India, especially in areas that lack fresh water and have limited funds for sewage treatment plants. Instead, she says, the country has to find cheaper, more efficient and environmentally friendly technologies. Lunar Mission Inspired by the successful landing in November of the Moon Impact Probe, India’s first unmanned lunar mission, Nair is looking skyward for ideas. “In space, you have the most vulnerable situations,” she says, playing a 2-minute YouTube video of an astronaut explaining how to manage bodily functions 100,000 miles from Earth. “They are separating the urine from the feces and drying it,” she says, pointing to her computer monitor. “The urine is processed for re-drinking because they just can’t carry that much water.” Nair says modern sewers aren’t the answer for India. The country can’t afford to waste water by flushing it down a latrine. Instead, she’s encouraging airplane-style commodes that are vacuum cleared or toilets that are attached to contained pits rather than systems that pipe the effluent miles away for treatment. In Nair’s world, recycling human excrement for use as fertilizer is preferable. ‘Our Own Devices’ “We need to invent our own devices which are cost- effective, environmentally sustainable and go with our people,” she says. “We cannot afford the things which are simply things that some civil engineer learned somewhere.” Converting excreta that have been properly dried for 6-24 months into plant food uses less water than traditional sewage systems and is less likely to pollute waterways, Payden says. Bartram says composted sewage that’s been handled correctly can be used in agriculture and for other beneficial purposes with negligible risk to human health. The challenge is to sanitize it so that disease-carrying organisms are eliminated. “Different pathogens vary widely in terms of inactivation,” he says. “Large, robust parasite eggs like the human roundworm, Ascaris, tend to be the longest lived and can remain infectious for years in soil.” Closing the Gap The government has a goal of eliminating open defecation by 2012. Nair says it might happen earlier. “It’s important for us to do it quickly,” she says. Right now, the number of open defecators is roughly double the number of India’s middle class. “This gap will keep widening,” she says. “That is the challenge for us.” For the Devi family, one household in one of India’s thousands of villages, the gap has narrowed. The health and dignity of five people have improved. More of Devi’s neighbors are trying to emulate her example by installing a household latrine and washing their hands with soap. “We have gone from home to home to talk about sanitation and cleanliness,” Devi says, standing on the bank of the Yamuna River as cattle drink from its fetid waters. “The solution to a thousand household problems is getting a toilet.” As India strives to build on two decades of growth, the nation’s sanitation struggle reveals how complicated Devi’s goal remains -- and how damaging the failure to meet it may be. To contact the reporter on this story: Jason Gale in Singapore at j.gale@bloomberg.net Last Updated: March 3, 2009 18:00 EST

Friday, February 27, 2009

More pain

If you think what we are seeing in the US is painful enough,
spare a thought for Europe.

I strongly suspect that the EU will cease to have one unified
Currency, the Euro over the next 3 to 5 years... for all you know you
may see the Franc, the Lira and the Mark back in vogue.

Reason? The Eurozone has many Eastern European countries which are on
the verge of soverign default. Iceland has already defaulted and is a
basket case.Ukraine is on the verge of it. A few Baltic nations too..

Not to forget the "strong" currency areas like Portugal and Italy. The
Italian Lira was akin to the Indonesian Rupiah in value before it got
"value added" through the "Euro"ization exercise.

At that time, the calcluation of the "developed" Euro zone countries
was that they would get a new "local" market to export their wares
without much trade barriers, and would get cheap "sweatshops" to
manufacture things for their consumption.


That same calculation has now turned topsy turvy. What were considered
as assets are now fast becoming liabilities, in the sense that the
rich nations within EU will now have to carry the "baggage" of the
poorer cousins. Financial survival or filial love? Who will win? Take
your pick!!!

State Bank of USA

Guys, Citibank is on the verge of becoming a Penny Stock ( frequently described as any stock with market value less than a dollar). Bank of America is following suit fast.
When Citigroup was formed about a decade ago, I remember the then chariman " admitting" on TV that he felt like a hero.
Now Uncle Sam, by buying close to 40% of Citibank's equity, is converting this Wall Street icon into THE STATE BANK OF USA!!! I wonder who ever created the USP for Citi " The Citi Never Sleeps"!! How ever can they?
The Popeye-biceps of Wall Street suddenly seem to have gone weak. The latest GDP drop by -6.2% is precipitous, and outright scary. Everyone, including die-hard optimists have conceded that this is the worst recession they are witnessing after the Great Depression. The only question now remaining is - is this going to be worse than the 1930s?
At this rate, you will soon see Navarthna Pubic Sector Undertakings (PUSs) in the USA - Citi, Bank of America, Freddie Mac, Fannie May, Bear Stearns, AIG, IndyMac.... at this rate, Navarathnas will make way for Sahasra ratnas .... except that the price of ratnas by then would ahve crashed, hehe!!
Stalin surely must be turning in his grave!!!

Monday, February 23, 2009

The meaning of Kamakshi

I was listening to Devi Mahatmiyam, rendered by Challakere Brothers online today. In my opinion, Challakere Brothers have the best diction of Sanskrit. The way the pronounced the words really impressed me.
During the course of it, one of the words that they pronounced so beautifully was KAMA-KSHI (Kamakshi). I deliberately put in an eipen in between, for, the brothers give a neat pause between those two syllables KAMA and Kshi. And this set my whole thought process going on why that long pause...   I realized the importance of understanding the meaning of every word, including names that appear in stotrams, instantly... and set about wondering what made them pause.
On the face of it, Kamakshi is one of the many names of Devi or Shakthi in Devi Mahatmiyam, a rendering apparently made with the objective of cooling down the Mother after She quelled Mahishasura, the demon who was wrecking havoc on earth.
The tendency for almost all of us when we recite to listen to Pujas and stotrams is that we focus on the words superficially, since 99% of us either don't know the meaning for most of those "exotic" words or don't bother to  find out - including Yours Truly. However, Challkere Brothers, with their Akshara Shuddham ( clarity of pronunciation) made me stop, for once, and dig this one out... and let me share this with you, on what I see. I don't claim to be any sort of expert on this, but strongly feel that this word is most often misconstrued, often with salacious intent. 
Cursory look into any book with names of Babies - it is very fashionable to find the most exotic name for your child now a days, and these books or online baby name websites come in handy-  tells me that "Kamakshi" means one with voluptuous eyes . 
Others are more benign - "One with loving eyes" ...   basis for this? - Kama ( Loving) Akshi ( Eyes).
On the face of it, looks convincing , especially putting in the context of the trio of Kamakshi, Meeakshi ( one with beautiful eyes like fish)  and Visaalakshi ( one with large, beautful eyes) .  Doesn't it? 
This is where I believe we need to delve a little deeper. Put the story (Puraanam) of Kamakshi in perspective and see what it could really mean.
I look at splitting the word Kamakshi slightly differently. Kaama+kshi=Kaamaakshi . Again, I am no expert in Sanskrit, but I believe this is yet another way to look at it. The letter kshi (root, as it is called in Sanskrit) has several meanings, one of which is " to master or to conquer" . ( The word KsheeNam means to be weak, just as an illustration). So, to me, Kamakshi means one who is the master of desires or emotions. Beware that Kama does not merely mean "lust" or "sex" - that is a narrow definition. Kama is a word that encompasses a variety of feelings , including desire, love ( as in compassion), or plain lust...  in short, any sort of emotion . Hindu Dharma traditionally prescribes that one of the ways to Moksham ( or becoming one with Brahmam or that Supreme Force)  is through control of emotions and senses. Hence, to me, Kamakshi really means "one who helps the individual proceed towards moksham by controlling Kama). 
This is where I believe we need to delve a little deeper. Put the story (Puraanam) of Kamakshi in perspective and see what it could really mean.
 Well, consider the following:
1. The statue of Kamakshi Amman in Kanchi has a rope, a goad or a lance, flower and sugarcane in each of Her four hands. ( Pasam, Ankusham, Pushpam and Baanam... as in Soundarya Lahari's stanza " Paasankusha Pushpabaana hasthe... Jagadheka Matah" ).  What do these signify? To me, they appear to repsent those things that bind one to the world ( by worldly pleasures) . The fact that She has them fimly under control signifies that She would facilitate the Devotee to keep them under control as well.
2. Puja in the temple is performed NOT to the Murthi of Kamkshi directly, but to the Yantram in front. To me, this signifies that the individual focuses on the Yantra towards attaining Mukthi, by giving up all emotions ( the Yantram can be construed as something like a whirlpool or a centrifuge). 
3. It is believed that Adi Shankara did just that - depending on whom you ask- He attained Jeeva Samadhi ( without a trace of his physical body) after sustained penance right there in front of the Yantram. Some say he attained Samadhi in Kedarnath. But there is no proff for either of these claims, but folklore in Kanchipuram surely has this going.
4. According to Shaivaites, there are Pancha Mukthi Sthalams of which Kanchipuram is one
 The Pancha Mukti Sthalas (Places of liberation) are:  * Birth Mukti of Tiruvaarur - if one is born in Tiruvarur, he/she automatically attains Mukti  * Thought Mukti of Tiruvannamalai - if one thinks of Tiruvannamalai, one attains Mukti.  * Residence Mukti in Kanchi - if one lives in Kanchi, he/she attains Mukti.  * Death Mukti in Kasi - if one dies in Kasi, he/she attains Mukti. 
* Sight Mukti in Chidambaram - if one gets Dharshan of the Siva in Chidambaram, he/she gets Mukti.   
Nett of it, Kamakshi can superficially mean one with beautiful, loving eyes, one who is compassionate towards Her devotees etc... but to me, it also means someone who will help the Devotee to give up Kama en-route to Moksham.
This is only my postulation.

Believe it or not


This article has been written in Spe 08....  and now gold is back above $1000 an ounce!!!


THE GLITTERING GOLD & HINDU ASTROLOGY
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SHANKAR G HEGDE
Usually astrologers having ethics avoid giving predictions related to speculation.
I am writing this just to uphold the capacity of Hindu astrology & for the sake of national interest. Of-course I am not revealing the total technical secret.

The Hindu New Year chart of Sarvadhari 
clearly reveals that the gold will be costlier in future. The reasons are, Sun the planet representing gold in mrityu bhaga & Jupiter in the eighth house which represent gold. 

Gold Prices 2008













According 
to, "Brihat Samhita ", represents gold (chapter 41& shloka 2). All these calculations show thegold will be untouchable for poor or middle class people.
According to some past data related to down fall of gold in international market we can observe the retrograde motion of Jupiter and the bad placement of the Sun from Aries and bad aspect of major malefic on Sun or Aries (12 Jan 2004 to Feb 2004, 1/12/04 to Jan2005, 15/May /2006 to 13/Jun/2006 which was the highest downfall during the recent history from 730 US $/Ounce to 560 US $ /Ounce.

These documents are collected from one of the 
India's top commodity analyst who takes astrological guidelines from me. 

Readers can 
visit the website www.safetradeadvisors.com.

On 14th of July of this year onwards the shining 
of the gold is decreasing. But as earlier mentioned by me it makes difficult the common people to purchase gold, so the price of the gold should increase after 8th of September 2008, when Jupiter's retrograde motion willbecome direct.

Chapter 42 and shloka 6 of the Brihat 
Samhita of Varaha Mihira clearly says the gold should be purchased when the Sun is in Leo and should be disposed only after 5 months, which will enable to gain much profit. According to me around Jan 2009 the price of the gold will be around Rs. 13500/10gm. Or more!

So the profit will be around 25 to 30 % per 
year at the least. Which bank or the financial organization can give such big returns?

Our honorable Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan 
Singh, advises the opposition party members to change the astrologers. Of course they should! ..... But simultaneously he should realize that during the next elections his party will perform very badly. The renowned economy expert of India, Dr. Manmohan Singh
ji should look into such beautiful authenticity of Hindu astrology.

So many temples like Tirupati, 
Dharmasthala, Kollur Mookambika are having enough funds as bank balance (fixed deposits), which are billions of rupees. If the same money used to purchase the gold, they will bebenefited very much. I don't know about the money flowing into temples of north India. The order should be passed by the PM himself to purchase the gold with respect to the international
market.

But who will bell the cat?


Written on 20/08/2008 at 10 P.M.

நரசிம்மா, வரு, பரம பிதா!

நரசிம்மா, வரு, பரம பிதா! சுத்த சிந்தை சிறப்பு நிதா! இசைதருமோ, உனது கடைசின் போதா? இருள் பொலிக்கும் எங்கள் விருட்ச நீயே! அறிவொளி ஈசனே, ஆதிபுரு...